Expected shortfall estimation for apparently infinite-mean models of operational risk
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Non - parametric Estimation of Operational Risk and Expected Shortfall
This paper proposes improvements to advanced measurement approach (AMA) to estimating operational risks, and applies the improved methods to US business losses categorised into five business lines and three event types operational losses. The AMA involves, among others, modelling a loss severity distribution and estimating the Expected Loss and the 99.9% operational value-at-risk (OpVaR). These...
متن کاملInfinite-mean models and the LDA for operational risk
Due to published statistical analyses of operational risk data, methodological approaches to the “advanced measurement approach” modeling of operational risk can be discussed in more detail. In this paper we raise some issues concerning correlation (or diversification) effects, the use of extreme value theory and the overall quantitative risk management consequences of extremely heavy-tailed da...
متن کاملNonparametric Estimation of Expected Shortfall
The paper evaluates the properties of nonparametric estimators of the expected shortfall, an increasingly popular risk measure in financial risk management. It is found that the existing kernel estimator based on a single bandwidth does not offer variance reduction, which is surprising considering that kernel smoothing reduces the variance of estimators for the value at risk and the distributio...
متن کاملDynamic Semiparametric Models for Expected Shortfall (and Value-at-Risk)
Expected Shortfall (ES) is the average return on a risky asset conditional on the return being below some quantile of its distribution, namely its Value-at-Risk (VaR). The Basel III Accord, which will be implemented in the years leading up to 2019, places new attention on ES, but unlike VaR, there is little existing work on modeling ES. We use recent results from statistical decision theory to ...
متن کاملModel Risk of Expected Shortfall
In this paper we study the model risk of Expected Shortfall (ES), extending the results of Boucher et al. (2014) on model risk of Value-at-Risk (VaR). We propose a correction formula for ES based on passing three backtests. Our results show that for the DJIA index, the smallest corrections are required for the ES estimates built using GARCH models. Furthermore, the 2.5% ES requires smaller corr...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Quantitative Finance
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1469-7688,1469-7696
DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2016.1162908